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2024-12-14 00:12:03

Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.Shenzhen Railway Commercial Co., Ltd. and Shenzhen Luckin Coffee reached a strategic cooperation alliance. On December 13th, Shenzhen Railway Commercial Co., Ltd. and Shenzhen Luckin Coffee reached a strategic cooperation alliance. This cooperation indicates that the two sides will jointly explore a new integration mode of track space and coffee retail. According to the agreement, Shenzhen Railway Commercial Co., Ltd. will make full use of the development and operation experience of different types of commercial projects such as Shenzhen subway station, station city complex and complex, and cooperate with Shenzhen Luckin Coffee in depth, and set up at least 50 stores in the commercial space of Shenzhen subway.Hong Kong stock black sesame intelligence once rose more than 20%. The company was recently included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect, and its interim net profit turned a profit year-on-year.


Zhaochi Co., Ltd. invested in the business of optical communication equipment in the newly established technology company. According to the enterprise investigation APP, recently, Shanghai Jiashibai Technology Co., Ltd. was established, with the legal representative of Gu Wei and the registered capital of 20 million yuan. Its business scope includes: optical communication equipment manufacturing; Sales of optical communication equipment; Manufacturing of digital video monitoring system; Digital video monitoring system sales, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by Shenzhen Zhaochi Digital Technology Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Zhaochi Co., Ltd.ST Mo Long and other materials companies have set up sales business of renewable resources. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Shandong Cangyuan Materials Co., Ltd. was established, with Liu Shuai as the legal representative and a registered capital of 5 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of machinery and equipment; Sales of coal and products; Sales of renewable resources; Import and export agents, etc. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is jointly held by ST Mo Long and others.Shenzhen Railway Commercial Co., Ltd. and Shenzhen Luckin Coffee reached a strategic cooperation alliance. On December 13th, Shenzhen Railway Commercial Co., Ltd. and Shenzhen Luckin Coffee reached a strategic cooperation alliance. This cooperation indicates that the two sides will jointly explore a new integration mode of track space and coffee retail. According to the agreement, Shenzhen Railway Commercial Co., Ltd. will make full use of the development and operation experience of different types of commercial projects such as Shenzhen subway station, station city complex and complex, and cooperate with Shenzhen Luckin Coffee in depth, and set up at least 50 stores in the commercial space of Shenzhen subway.


Sumeida: Its mechanical and electrical company won two standby power supply projects in succession. According to Sumeida, in the fourth quarter of 2024, Sumeida went all out to sprint the annual target task. Its mechanical and electrical company continued to deepen the domestic and international markets and won two standby power supply projects in succession, namely, the first-phase mechanical and electrical equipment room supporting project of China Mobile Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao (Shaoguan) data center and the standby power supply project with an annual output of 100,000 tons of high-purity silicon-based materials in the Middle East.The privatization of Avenue Industry is nearing completion. Patec, a precision engineering manufacturer, and related parties have accumulated 85.27% of the shares of Broadway Industrial Group, and the acquisition of Avenue Industry is nearing completion. According to the announcement, the offer price is S $0.197 per share, which is the final price and will not be further increased. The deadline for the offer is 5: 30 pm on December 23rd.According to CITIC Securities, it is necessary for deficit ratio to rise to nearly 4%, and mortgage interest rates is expected to fall further. According to Yicai, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. Regarding what it means to change the tone of fiscal policy from "positive" to "more positive", the chief economist of CITIC Securities clearly said that I think it means that the whole fiscal policy will be further expanded next year. First of all, from the perspective of deficit ratio, our deficit ratio is 3% this year and 3% at the beginning of last year. However, we had a special budget adjustment at the end of last year, so the deficit ratio from the end of last year to the end of last year was actually 3.8%. Looking forward to next year, we think that the ratio that may be close to 4% should be the effect that everyone expects to achieve at present. In terms of monetary policy, we can see a series of monetary policies, including further relaxing some restrictions on purchase restriction and loan restriction, including the down payment ratio, and a particularly important one is to reduce the mortgage interest rates. I think these monetary policies will be further promoted in the future, and even further declined in mortgage interest rates, for example.

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